Pythios is a prediction engine for world events. It reads millions of signals a day and prices what happens next — calibrated probabilities that move the moment the world does.
An illustrative session with example data — not a live forecast.
The world's raw feed becomes structured claims. Every question becomes one number. And when reality answers, the number gets graded.
1.0Engine →
FIG 1.1
News wires, official statements, shipping and flight data, markets, seismic and hazard feeds — millions of signals a day, structured the moment they exist.
FIG 1.2
No hedging, no “significant uncertainty remains.” Every question gets one probability, and every new signal moves it.
FIG 1.3
Every resolved question is scored against reality and fed back into the model. When Pythios says 20%, it happens about one time in five.
Every prediction runs the same path. You pose the question, Pythios prices it, each new signal re-prices it, and resolution settles the score.
2.0Workflow →
01
Frame a question with a resolution date — a strait, an election, a price. It becomes a live probability.
02
Every new signal re-prices your question. Follow it live from creation to resolution.
03
When the date arrives, the prediction is graded against what actually happened — no quiet revisions.
A probability tells you what. Insight tells you why — which signals moved the number, how much each one mattered, and what would move it next. All of it attached to a prediction that gets scored, so the reasoning is accountable too.
3.0Insight →
Open any prediction to see the reports, filings and feeds that moved it — and how much each one was worth.
The conditions that would push the number up or down, published before they happen rather than explained after.
Every explanation ships attached to a number that resolves — so the reasoning gets scored with it.
EU → BELARUS · ATTRIBUTION · LAST 24H
WOULD CHANGE OUR MIND
Draft measure enters the council agenda → +0.08. Vote postponed past the window → −0.11.
Every prediction is timestamped the moment it's made. When the question resolves, it's scored — and the results roll up into a scorecard, whether they flatter us or not.
4.0Record →
<0.000
Mean Brier score
0
Distinct data sources
0.000
Actor precision
0.0M
Signals per day
Different desks, same need: a defensible number before the event, not a narrative after it.
5.0Audience
GOVERNMENT & DEFENSE
Indications and warning at machine speed — with the reasoning attached.
MARKETS
Price geopolitical risk before it prices you. Calibrated odds, updated live.
CORPORATE RISK
Know when a route, supplier, or region turns — days before it hits operations.
NEWSROOMS & RESEARCH
Every prediction traceable to its signals. Cite the number, show the evidence.
Tell us a little about yourself and we’ll reach out as soon as we can.
We'll only use this to contact you about Pythios. See our privacy policy.
STATUS · CONFIRMED ✓